Our 2022 Meteorology and Market Design for Grid Services Workshop was held at The Curtis Hotel in downtown Denver, Colorado.

All of the presentations from the workshop can be downloaded below. Soon, we’ll also post recordings of each session.

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Tutorial: Forecasting for Energy and Ancillary Service Markets: Role of Storage, Hybrids and DER in an Uncertain Environment

Introduction to Forecasting and Operations
Aidan Tuohy, Program Manager and Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI

Electricity Markets and Forecasts, How They Interact
Aidan Tuohy, Program Manager and Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI

Forecasting Hybrid and Co-Located, Resources
Amber Motley, Senior Manager, Short Term Forecasting, CAISO

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Session 1: Introduction and Opening Plenary: The Increasing Ubiquity of VRE Forecasting

Chair: Mark Ahlstrom, President, ESIG Board of Directors, & NextEra Energy Resources

Introduction
Charlie Smith, Executive Director, ESIG

How are Forecasts Performing and Markets Adapting
Pascal Storck, Head of Technology, Vaisala

Forecasting and Market Participation for Hybrids
Gary Dorris, CEO & Co-founder, Ascend Analytics

Forecasting and Market Participation for Large Wind and Solar Power Plants
Congcong Wang, Lead Day-Ahead Market and Reliability Commitment, MISO

Forecasting and Market Participation for VPPs
Lars Rohwer, energy & meteo systems

DER Technology Forecasting – How will it Impact the Rest of the System?
Nate Blair, Group Manager – Distributed Systems and Storage Analysis, NREL

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Session 2: Solar and Wind Forecasting R&D Advances

Session 2A
Chair: Craig Collier, Chief Meteorologist, Head of Operations, Energy Forecasting Solutions, LLC

Short and Medium Range Forecasting System Improvements
Dave Turner, Manager – NOAA ASRE Program, NOAA

Dispatching Long Duration Storage on High PV Systems
Brady Cowiestoll, Engineer, NREL

Advances in PV Nowcasting Applications
Nick Engerer, CTO & Co-founder, Solcast

Session 2B
American Made Challenges Solar Forecasting Prize
Chair: Tassos Golnas, Technology Manager, Solar Energy Technologies Office, DOE

DOE Solar Forecasting Prize Panel

A Hybrid Approach for Intra-day Solar Forecasting
Xianglei Huang, Professor, University of Michigan

Solar Intelligence Services
Geoff Galgon, Nimbus AI

Solar Forecast Arbiter – Performance, Lessons Learned and Next Steps
David Larson, Engineer/Scientist III, Grid Ops & Planning, EPRI

DOE Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasting Panel

Solar Uncertainty Management and Mitigation for Exceptional Reliability in Grid Operations
Bri-Mathias Hodge, Associate Professor, University of Colorado Boulder; Chief Scientist, NREL

Operational Probabilistic Tools for Solar Uncertainty
Aidan Tuohy, Program Manager, EPRI

Using Probabilistic Solar Forecasts for Operating Reserves Requirements
Ben Hobbs, Director, JHU Environment, Energy, Sustainability & Health Institute, Johns Hopkins University

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Session 3: Integration of Probabilistic Forecasts into the EMS and MMS – Status and Prospects

Chair: Nitika Mago, Manager, Electric Grid Operations, ERCOT

Forecaster Experience Working with a TSO on the Current and Planned use of Probabilistic Forecasts in Market Operation
Jeff Lerner, Customer Solutions Manager, ENFOR

Forming Weather-Aware Uncertainty Requirements
Amber Motley, Senior Manager, Short Term Forecasting, CAISO

Integration of Probabilistic Forecasts into the EMS and MMS – Status and Prospects
Sankaran Rajagopal, Director, Energy Market Management Business Solutions, Siemens

A Market Management Systems (MMS) Perspective
Khosrow Moslehi, Director, Product Management, Hitachi Energy

Integration of Renewables Forecasts into the EMS and MMS
Tolu Dina, Manager – Operations Performance and Analysis, NYISO

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Session 4: Dynamic Reserve Applications Panel Discussion

Chair: Debbie Lew, Associate Director, ESIG

Batteries and Ramping Reserves
Arne Olsen, Senior Partner, Energy and Environmental Economics, Inc.

The Case for Dynamic Reserve Allocation in NY State
Rana Mukerji, Senior Vice President–Market Structures, NYISO

Dynamic Operating Reserves in SPP
Kathryn Dial, Senior Technical Analyst, Southwest Power Pool

Survey of Adoption of Dynamic Reserve Practices
Jo Ann Ranola, Grid Ops & Planning, EPRI

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Session 5: Impacts of Climate Change

Chair: Laurent Dubus, Senior Scientist on Weather and Climate, RTE

Climate Change Impacts on Wind Power Generation
Sara C. Pryor, Professor, Cornell University

Renewable Resource Interannual Variability under Current and Future Climate Scenarios
Sue Ellen Haupt, Deputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR

Potential Impacts of Climate Change on BPS Planning and Operation
Bri-Mathias Hodge, Associate Professor, University of Colorado Boulder; Chief Scientist, NREL

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Session 6: Extreme Weather Conditions

Chair: Aidan Tuohy, Program Manager, EPRI

The Evolving Role of Extreme Weather Events in the Power System
Josh Novacheck, Electricity System Research Engineer, NREL

Planning Data Sets Accounting for Extreme Weather Events
Justin Sharp, Principal & Owner, Sharply Focused

Planning for Extreme Weather Events Case Study
Richard Tabors, President, Tabors, Caramanis and Rudkevich

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Session 7: High VRE Futures – How Are Markets Evolving?

Market Evolution on High Variable Renewable Future – Panel Intro
Chair: Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI

Market Design Evolution for a Decarbonized Energy Future
Karen Palmer, Senior Fellow, Resources for the Future

Intraday Settlements to Mitigate DER Forecast Uncertainty Risk
Pamela MacDougall, Environmental Defense Fund

GFM Penetration and Market Product Requirements
Julian Leslie, Head of Networks and Chief Engineer, National Grid ESO

Forecasting and Market Evolution in AEMO
Liam McManus, Operational Forecasting Analyst, AEMO

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Session 8: Closing Plenary – Taking Stock: Where are We and What Lies Ahead?

Chair: Charlie Smith, Executive Director, ESIG

Panel discussion with forecast developers, forecast users, researchers and consultants to talk about issues, gaps, opportunities and needs based on their experience and observations from the workshop.

• Where is there room for improvement?
• What are the remaining barriers?
• Where is the greatest value to be obtained?

Panelists:
Mark Ahlstrom, President, ESIG Board of Directors, & NextEra Energy Resources
Craig Collier, Chief Meteorologist, Head of Operations, Energy Forecasting Solutions, LLC
Tassos Golnas, Technology Manager, Solar Energy Technologies Office, DOE
Debbie Lew, Associate Director, ESIG
Laurent Dubus, Senior Scientist on Weather and Climate, RTE (France)
Aidan Tuohy, Program Manager, EPRI
Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI
Sue Ellen Haupt, Deputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR

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Workshop Sponsors