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2023 Long-term Load Forecasting Workshop
June 13 - June 15
All of the presentations from our 2023 Long-term Load Forecasting Workshop held in Denver, Colorado can be downloaded below.
Workshop Session Recordings: Click here for the workshop session playlist.
Introduction & Keynote Comments
Workshop Introduction
Debra Lew, Associate Director, ESIG
Keynote: The Grid We Need to Decarbonize America
Jesse Jenkins, Assistant Professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering and the Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment, Princeton University
Introduction to Load Forecasting
Jon Black, Manager of Load Forecasting, ISO-NE
Session 1: Weather and Climate
Chair: Justin Sharp, Principal & Owner, Sharply Focused LLC
RTE’s Approach to Forward-looking Weather Data
Laurent Dubus, Senior Scientist, RTE (France)
EPRI’s Climate READi Approach to Forward-looking Weather Datasets
Erik Smith, Climate Resilience Analyst, EPRI
Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource data with Climate Change Impacts using Generative Machine Learning
Grant Buster, Data Scientist, NREL
VCE’s Approach to Forward-looking Forecasting of Load and Renewable Generation
Chris Clack, Vice President, Integrated Energy Systems Planning, Pattern Energy Group
Session 2: Transportation Electrification
Session Introduction
Chair: Sean Morash, Principal, Telos Energy
Distribution Planning for EV Fleets
Jeremiah Deboever, Technical Leader, EPRI
An Open Source Tool for Agent-based Model of Forecasted Electric Vehicle Growth
Timothy Pennington, Sr. Research Engineer, Idaho National Laboratory
Incorporating Transportation Data into System Planning
Gerhard Walker, Manager – Advanced Forecasting and Modelling, Eversource
Bottom-Up Load Forecasting and System-Level Electrification Impacts
Troy Hodges, Manager, Data Science, Kevala
Session 3: Flexibility in Future Load
Chair: Steven Dahlke, Energy Economist, EPRI
Flexibility Needs Identified in Clean Energy Studies
Derek Stenclik, Founding Partner, Telos Energy
APS Experience With Customer Response to Programs and Pricing
Tom Hines, Consultant, APS
ERCOT Experience With Flexibility in Large Loads
Agee Springer, Large Flexible Load Interconnection Manager, ERCOT
The Value of Flexible Loads With Increasing Electrification
Caitlin Murphy, Group Manager, NREL
Session 4: Industrial Loads and Hydrogen
Chair: James Okullo, Director of System Planning, ESIG
Future Growth and Flexibility from Datacenters
Carsten Baumann, Director Strategic Initiatives & Solution Architect, Schneider Electric
How the Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit Will Affect Electrolyzer Growth and Flexibility
Dan Esposito, Senior Policy Analyst, Energy Innovation
Integrating Large Flexible Loads while Maintaining Grid Reliability
Agee Springer, Large Flexible Load Interconnection Manager, ERCOT
Heat Batteries for Industrial Electrification
Patrick Leslie, Director of Energy Markets, Rondo
Session 5: Building Electrification
Session Introduction
Chair: Jeff Deason, Program Manager, LBNL
Building Electrification and Flexibility of Building Loads
Ryan Jones, Co-founder, Evolved Energy Research
ISO-NE Forecasts of Building Electrification
Jon Black, Manager of Load Forecasting, ISO-NE
NYISO Forecasts of Building Electrification
Arthur Maniaci, Principal Forecaster, Demand Forecasting & Analysis, NYISO
Session 6: Distributed Solar and Storage
Chair: Priya Sreedharan, Program Director, GridLab
NREL’s DGEN Approach to Forecasting Solar and Storage
Paritosh Das, Energy Systems Analyst\Engineer, NREL
Locational DER Adoption and Load Forecasting
Fred Schaefer, Principal, Cadeo
Behind-the-meter PV and Storage Adoption
Brittany Farrell, Energy Systems Researcher, Clean Power Research
Session 7: Distribution Planning
Chair: Jeff Smith, Director, Grid Operations & Planning, EPRI
Advanced DER Forecast & Planning – An Evolving Discipline
Darrin Kinney, SVP – Head of Business Development, Integral Analytics
Premise-Level Load and DER Forecasts
Julieta Giraldez, Director, Grid Planning, Kevala
Integrating Top-level Corporate Forecasts with Distribution System Forecasts
Andy Sukenik, Principal Forecast Consultant, Itron
Distribution Planning with a Feeder-Level Forecast
Ryan Hinkley, Lead Engineer, Distribution Planning and Asset Management – NY, National Grid
Session 8: Bringing it All Together
Chair: Elaine Hale, Senior Research Engineer, NREL
RTE’s Long-term Load Forecasting for System Planning
Laurent DuBus, Senior Scientist, RTE (France)
Forecasts for National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios
Sagar Depala, Energy Manager, National Grid ESO
MISO’s Electrification Futures
Anupam Thatte, Senior Engineer, Research & Development, MISO
SCE’s Forecasting for Distribution Planning
Mark Esguerra, Director, Distribution System Planning and Strategy, Southern California Edison
Integrating Bottom-up Load Forecasts Into Planning Tools
Ryan Jones, Co-founder, Evolved Energy Research
Working Together to Improve Future Utility Load Forecasts
Andy Sukenik, Principal Forecast Consultant, Itron