2023 Long-term Load Forecasting Workshop

All of the presentations from our 2023 Long-term Load Forecasting Workshop held in Denver, Colorado can be downloaded below.

Download Workshop Summary

Workshop Session Recordings: Click here for the workshop session playlist.

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Introduction & Keynote Comments

Workshop Introduction
Debra Lew, Associate Director, ESIG

Keynote: The Grid We Need to Decarbonize America
Jesse Jenkins, Assistant Professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering and the Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment, Princeton University

Introduction to Load Forecasting
Jon Black, Manager of Load Forecasting, ISO-NE

Session 1: Weather and Climate

Chair: Justin Sharp, Principal & Owner, Sharply Focused LLC

RTE’s Approach to Forward-looking Weather Data
Laurent Dubus, Senior Scientist, RTE (France)

EPRI’s Climate READi Approach to Forward-looking Weather Datasets
Erik Smith, Climate Resilience Analyst, EPRI

Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource data with Climate Change Impacts using Generative Machine Learning
Grant Buster, Data Scientist, NREL

VCE’s Approach to Forward-looking Forecasting of Load and Renewable Generation
Chris Clack, Vice President, Integrated Energy Systems Planning, Pattern Energy Group

Session 2: Transportation Electrification

Session Introduction
Chair: Sean Morash, Principal, Telos Energy

Distribution Planning for EV Fleets
Jeremiah Deboever, Technical Leader, EPRI

An Open Source Tool for Agent-based Model of Forecasted Electric Vehicle Growth
Timothy Pennington, Sr. Research Engineer, Idaho National Laboratory

Incorporating Transportation Data into System Planning
Gerhard Walker, Manager – Advanced Forecasting and Modelling, Eversource

Bottom-Up Load Forecasting and System-Level Electrification Impacts
Troy Hodges, Manager, Data Science, Kevala

Session 3: Flexibility in Future Load

Chair: Steven Dahlke, Energy Economist, EPRI

Flexibility Needs Identified in Clean Energy Studies
Derek Stenclik, Founding Partner, Telos Energy

APS Experience With Customer Response to Programs and Pricing
Tom Hines, Consultant, APS

ERCOT Experience With Flexibility in Large Loads
Agee Springer, Large Flexible Load Interconnection Manager, ERCOT

The Value of Flexible Loads With Increasing Electrification
Caitlin Murphy, Group Manager, NREL

Session 4: Industrial Loads and Hydrogen

Chair: James Okullo, Director of System Planning, ESIG

Future Growth and Flexibility from Datacenters
Carsten Baumann, Director Strategic Initiatives & Solution Architect, Schneider Electric

How the Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit Will Affect Electrolyzer Growth and Flexibility
Dan Esposito, Senior Policy Analyst, Energy Innovation

Integrating Large Flexible Loads while Maintaining Grid Reliability
Agee Springer, Large Flexible Load Interconnection Manager, ERCOT

Heat Batteries for Industrial Electrification
Patrick Leslie, Director of Energy Markets, Rondo

Session 5: Building Electrification

Session Introduction
Chair: Jeff Deason, Program Manager, LBNL

Building Electrification and Flexibility of Building Loads
Ryan Jones, Co-founder, Evolved Energy Research

ISO-NE Forecasts of Building Electrification
Jon Black, Manager of Load Forecasting, ISO-NE

NYISO Forecasts of Building Electrification
Arthur Maniaci, Principal Forecaster, Demand Forecasting & Analysis, NYISO

Session 6: Distributed Solar and Storage

Chair: Priya Sreedharan, Program Director, GridLab

NREL’s DGEN Approach to Forecasting Solar and Storage
Paritosh Das, Energy Systems Analyst\Engineer, NREL

Locational DER Adoption and Load Forecasting
Fred Schaefer, Principal, Cadeo

Behind-the-meter PV and Storage Adoption
Brittany Farrell, Energy Systems Researcher, Clean Power Research

Session 7: Distribution Planning

Chair: Jeff Smith, Director, Grid Operations & Planning, EPRI

Advanced DER Forecast & Planning – An Evolving Discipline
Darrin Kinney, SVP – Head of Business Development, Integral Analytics

Premise-Level Load and DER Forecasts
Julieta Giraldez, Director, Grid Planning, Kevala

Integrating Top-level Corporate Forecasts with Distribution System Forecasts
Andy Sukenik, Principal Forecast Consultant, Itron

Distribution Planning with a Feeder-Level Forecast
Ryan Hinkley, Lead Engineer, Distribution Planning and Asset Management – NY, National Grid

Session 8: Bringing it All Together

Chair: Elaine Hale, Senior Research Engineer, NREL

RTE’s Long-term Load Forecasting for System Planning
Laurent DuBus, Senior Scientist, RTE (France)

Forecasts for National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios
Sagar Depala, Energy Manager, National Grid ESO

MISO’s Electrification Futures
Anupam Thatte, Senior Engineer, Research & Development, MISO

SCE’s Forecasting for Distribution Planning
Mark Esguerra, Director, Distribution System Planning and Strategy, Southern California Edison

Integrating Bottom-up Load Forecasts Into Planning Tools
Ryan Jones, Co-founder, Evolved Energy Research

Working Together to Improve Future Utility Load Forecasts
Andy Sukenik, Principal Forecast Consultant, Itron