2023 Meteorology and Market Design for Grid Services Workshop

All of the presentations from our 2023 Meteorology & Market Design for Grid Services Workshop held in Denver, Colorado can be downloaded below.

Workshop Session Recordings: Click here to view the workshop session playlist on our YouTube channel.

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Introduction/Opening Comments

Workshop Introduction
Charlie Smith, Executive Director, ESIG

Session 1: Ancillary Services Markets and Ramping Products for Renewable Energy

Session Chair: Emma Nicholson, Senior Economist, FERC

CAISO Day-ahead Market Enhancements and Ramp Products
James Friedrich, Lead Policy Developer, CAISO

MISO Short Term Reserve and Ramping Products
Jason Howard, Director, Operations Risk Management, MISO

Evolution and Value of the ERCOT Operating Reserve Demand Curve
Ryan King, Manager, Market Design, ERCOT

Flexibility and Ramping in a Vertically Integrated Market Structure
Keith Parks, Senior Trading Analyst, Xcel Energy

Flexibility Products and ORDC: Are They Really That Different?
Ryan Schoppe, Senior Technical Leader, EPRI

Session 2: DER Forecasting for Operations

Session Chair: Andrew Akman, Senior Data Scientist, AEMO (Australia)

Forecasting of DERs for Distribution Operations
David Larson, Technical Leader, Grid Ops & Planning, EPRI

Forecasting of DERs for Bulk System Operations
Jared Lee, Project Scientist II, National Center for Atmospheric Research

Forecasting and Operation of DERs under Different T/D Coordination Frameworks
Ali Golriz, Lead, System & Sector Development, Innovation and R&D, IESO (Canada)

Forecasting for Renewable Energy and Grid Analysis for Congestion Management
Lars Rohwer, energy and meteo systems (Germany)

Session 3: Aligning Retail Rates and Grid Needs for Flexibility and Balancing Considerations

Session Chair: Obadiah Bartholomy, Manager, Distributed Energy Strategy, SMUD

Regulatory Perspective – A Key Piece of the Puzzle
Eric Blank, Chairman, Colorado Public Utilities Commission

Demand Response Programs in Action
Bryan Hannegan, President & CEO, Holy Cross Energy

Extracting Flexibility from Price-Sensitive Loads Through Bid-in Demand
Richard O’Neill, Distinguished Senior Fellow, ARPA-E

Orchestrating Customer Programs and Rates for a Customer-centric Path to Clean Energy
Tom Hines, Consultant, Arizona Public Service

Session 4: Progress in the Use of Probabilistic Forecasts: A Panel Discussion

Session Chair: Julia Matevosyan, Chief Engineer, ESIG

Each panelist gave a 5-minute overview on one probabilistic forecasting application being used or planned in their company. The panel was grouped according to application areas, such as Short Term Reserve, Flex Ramp Requirements, Imbalance Reserve Requirements, RUC Uncertainty Requirements, system pre-positioning, etc. with group discussion following each set of presentations.

Usage of Probabilistic Wind and Solar Forecasts At ERCOT
Nitika Mago, Manager, Balancing Operations Planning, ERCOT

Capturing Net Load Uncertainty – RUC Uncertainty and Imbalance Reserve Requirements
Amber Motley, Senior Manager, Short Term Forecasting, CAISO

Jon Black, Manager of Load Forecasting, ISO-NE

Embracing Uncertainty in Operational Forecasting
Andrew Akman, Senior Data Scientist, AEMO (Australia)

Operations Risk Assessment and Uncertainty Management
Jason Howard, Director Operations Risk Management, MISO

Using Probabilistic Wind Forecasts for Long-Lead Thermal Unit Dispatch
Anneliese Alexander, Senior Meteorologist, Xcel Energy

IESO Presentation
Faraz Majid, Planner/Data Engineering, IESO (Canada)

Joseph Mulhern, Lead Engineer, Markets Coordination, PJM

Session 5: Market Design for 100% Renewable Markets

Session Chair: Bethany Frew, Group Manager, Capacity Expansion & Electricity Markets Group, NREL

The Value of Marginal Cost Pricing in a High Renewables and Storage World
Emma Nicholson, Senior Economist, FERC

Key Research Challenges Related to Evolving Electricity Markets
Todd Levin, Electricity Markets Team Lead, Argonne National Laboratory

Controllable Loads for Ancillary Services: Green Hydrogen and Beyond
Andrew Reimers, Director of R&D and Regulatory Affairs, Lancium

Storage is to Temporal Prices as Transmission is to Locational Prices
Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI

Session 6: State of the Art and Outlook for Renewable Energy Forecasting

Session Chair: Sue Ellen Haupt, Deputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR

Winter Storm Elliot – Lessons Learned
Craig Collier, Chief Meteorologist, Head of Operations, Energy Forecasting Solutions

HRRR Model Update and Next Steps
Dave Turner, Senior Scientist, NOAA’s Global Systems Laboratory

Evaluating the Ability of Met Models to Characterize Daily Cycles in Wind Generation
Dev Millstein, Research Scientist, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Forecasting for Hydro Power in an Increasingly Climate Stressed Environment
Daniel Palmer, Business Development & Partnerships, Upstream Tech

Session 7: Electricity Market Performance Under Extreme Events

Session Chair: Erik Ela, Principal, EPRI

An Assessment of Market Reform Options in ERCOT including the new Performance Credit Mechanism (PCM) Rule Review
Zach Ming, Director, Energy & Environmental Economics (E3)

PJM Performance Assessment Interval Penalty Assessments under Winter Storm Elliott
Paul Sotkiewicz, President, E-Cubed Policy Associates

Performance of Batteries in CAISO During the 2022 Heat Wave
Guillermo Alderete, Director, Market Analysis and Forecasting, CAISO

Session 8: Data Sets for Future System Planning and Extreme Weather Events

Session Chair: Bri-Mathias Hodge, Chief Scientist, NREL

Incorporating Uncertainty into the Use of Climate Data to Inform Planning Studies
Robin Kaiser, Network Development Engineer, Amprion GmbH (Germany)

Development of Correlated Wind, Solar and Load Forecasts for Power System Planning
Ian Schomer, Data Team Lead, Newton Energy Group

Need for Better Datasets for Resource Adequacy Planning
Elaine Hart, Founding Principal, Moment Energy Insights

Need for a National Power System Planning Weather Database
Justin Sharp, Principal & Owner, Sharply Focused

Session 9: Incorporating Risk into Power Systems and Markets (work from ARPA-e PERFORM)

Session Chair: Richard O’Neill, Distinguished Senior Fellow, ARPA-E

Probabilistic Forecasting of Extreme Market Events
Alex Rudkevich, President & Founder, Newton Energy Group

Risk-Aware Power System Control, Dispatch and Market Incentives
Dan Bienstock, Professor, Industrial Engineering & Operations Research, Columbia University

Grid that’s Risk-Aware for Clean Electricity – GRACE
Dimitris Floros, Postdoctoral Associate, Duke University

An Integrated Paradigm for the Management of Delivery Risk in Electricity Markets: From Batteries to Insurance and Beyond
Michael Blonsky, Research Engineer, NREL